Se alguém discordar, isso sugere uma aposta - poderia-se escolher 10 papéis ao acaso e então Nate teria que encontrar uma falha fatal em 2 deles, ou algo assim.
Nate Silver
Nate Silver18/08/2025
Well, I know a lot about statistical inference, have been doing it for 25 years, have faced a lot of public scrutiny, and in the fields where I also have a lot of domain knowledge, probably half of published papers have obvious fatal flaws that render them unfit for publication.
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